World | Zimbabwe Five Endgames for Zimbabwe Odds look bad for smooth Mugabe exit By Kevin Spak Posted Jun 9, 2008 10:40 AM CDT Copied Zimbabwe Presidential candidate Morgan Tsvangirai, leader of the Movement For Democratic Change party addresses supporters during a rally in Kwekwe, Zimbabwe, Sunday, 8 June, 2008. (AP Photo) As Robert Mugabe’s war against his political opponents—and anyone who supports them—intensifies in the run-up to the run-off, Royal African Society Director Richard Dowden breaks down the possible endgames for the London Times. Morgan Tsvangirai takes power, after winning a majority. Odds: zero. Even if Mugabe’s violent intimidation and vote rigging somehow fail, he won’t concede. Mugabe and Tsvangirai form a Kenyan-style unity government. Odds: less than zero. Neither side is interested. Mugabe wins. Odds: high. Zanu-PF will urge and, in many cases, force likely backers to vote. And, of course, harrass MDC voters. The armed forces get sick of not being paid, break into pro- and anti-Mugabe factions, and make Zimbabwe look like Somalia. Odds: Possible. A miracle happens. A key ally, say the finance minister, defects, and the house of cards collapses. Mugabe and his lieutenants go into exile and a national unity government succeeds them. Odds: with Southern Africa, you never know. Read These Next New Fox star, 23, misses first day after car troubles. Man accused of killing his daughters might be dead. Her blood isn't compatible with anyone else's. White House rolls with Trump's 'daddy' nickname. Report an error