Politics | Senate Senate Seats Most Likely to Flip (Only 1 to GOP) New Dems from VA, NM, CO likely By Jonas Oransky Posted Jun 13, 2008 1:51 PM CDT Copied Former governor Jeanne Shaheen, D-N.H. listens to her Republican rival U.S. Rep. John Sununu . (AP Photo/Jim Cole, File) The GOP's best case-scenario sees the party losing only three Senate seats this fall. Washington Post blogger Chris Cillizza runs down the races most likely to flip a vote: Mississippi: Trent Lott replacement Roger Wicker has never been elected statewide, and Barack Obama's coattails should draw in the large black population. Minnesota: Al Franken remains promising, but he's no sure thing, thanks to back taxes and Playboy bylines. North Carolina: Elizabeth Dole’s ties to President Bush aren't helping here. Louisiana: The chances of only vulnerable Democrat, Mary Landrieu, may rise or fall on the turnout for Obama. Oregon: An Independent Party candidate has dropped his bid, clearing the way for Jeff Merkley. For the scoop on the top five, click the link below. Read These Next Her blood isn't compatible with anyone else's. Rubio says the fate of Iran's conversion facility is what matters. Iran's supreme leader makes first public comments since ceasefire. Some of the most explosive Diddy allegations are dropped. Report an error