Senate Seats Most Likely to Flip (Only 1 to GOP)

The GOP's best case-scenario sees the party losing only three Senate seats this fall. Washington Post blogger Chris Cillizza runs down the races most likely to flip a vote:

10. Mississippi: Trent Lott replacement Roger Wicker has never been elected statewide, and Barack Obama's coattails should draw in the large black population.

9. Minnesota: Al Franken remains promising, but he's no sure thing, thanks to back taxes and Playboy bylines.

8. North Carolina: Elizabeth Dole’s ties to President Bush aren't helping here.

7. Louisiana: The chances of only vulnerable Democrat, Mary Landrieu, may rise or fall on the turnout for Obama.

6. Oregon: An Independent Party candidate has dropped his bid, clearing the way for Jeff Merkley.

For the scoop on the top five, click the link below. (More Senate stories.)