Politics | Election 2008 Is McCain Closing the Gap? Not Fast Enough: Silver Republican picking up little to no ground By Gabriel Winant Posted Oct 30, 2008 7:46 AM CDT Copied Republican presidential candidate Sen. John McCain, R-Ariz., boards his campaign plane as the sun sets in West Palm Beach, Fla., Wednesday, Oct. 29, 2008. (AP Photo/Carolyn Kaster) John McCain isn’t moving up on Barack Obama in the polls—at least not fast enough to be significant, writes statistics guru Nate Silver at his blog FiveThirtyEight.com. The Republican appears to be about six or seven points back. While he’s picked up maybe a point in the last week, he has to gain six more in five days to close the gap—not an easy task. “Number two, John McCain is NOT gaining ground in the states that matter the most,” writes Silver. In most swing states, Obama appears to be strengthening his position or, at worst, slipping into a tie with McCain. In the top tier, Obama's lead is steady in Virginia, Colorado, and Pennsylvania. In the second tier, McCain seems to be gaining in Florida, Obama in Ohio and Nevada. “My feeling is that John McCain still needs some sort of external contingency to win the presidency.” Read These Next White House rolls with Trump's 'daddy' nickname. New Fox star, 23, misses first day after car troubles. Supreme Court ruling is a big blow to Planned Parenthood. New York Times ranks the best movies of the 21st century. Report an error